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Super League

Referee: Luca Piccolo

Thun

T T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Winterthur

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

3,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

70%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 85%

80%

90%

Both score Ø 75%

80%

70%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%

19 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 1. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	10	7	1	2	+7	-1.8	22
2	St. Gallen	10	7	0	3	+13	+2.9	21
3	Basel	10	6	0	4	+5	+7.6	18
4	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	-1	-3.0	17
5	Sion	10	4	3	3	+3	+3.3	15
6	Luzern	10	3	5	2	+1	-3.1	14
7	Lugano	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.6	13
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-4	+3.3	13
9	Lausanne	10	3	3	4	+5	+4.7	12
10	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+0.8	11
11	Grasshoppers	10	2	3	5	-4	-8.5	9
12	Winterthur	10	0	3	7	-18	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.2	10
3	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.3	10
4	Lausanne	5	3	0	2	+8	+5.6	9
5	Basel	4	3	0	1	+6	+10.0	9
6	Servette	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.7	8
7	Grasshoppers	5	2	1	2	+3	-1.7	7
8	Thun	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
9	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
10	Sion	5	1	1	3	+0	-0.2	4
11	Luzern	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.8	3
12	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.5	11
3	Luzern	5	3	2	0	+3	-3.9	11
4	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.2	9
5	Basel	6	3	0	3	-1	-2.4	9
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.1	7
7	Young Boys	5	2	1	2	-6	-6.3	7
8	Lausanne	5	0	3	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Servette	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
10	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.4	3
11	Grasshoppers	5	0	2	3	-7	-6.8	2
12	Winterthur	5	0	1	4	-13	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.