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Super League

Referee: Lukas Fahndrich

Basel

S S S T T

2–0

Full-time

Zurich

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 85%

90%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 3. · Zurich 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	11	8	1	2	+10	-1.8	25
2	St. Gallen	11	7	0	4	+12	+2.9	21
3	Basel	10	6	0	4	+5	+7.6	18
4	Sion	11	5	3	3	+4	+3.3	18
5	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	-1	-3.0	17
6	Luzern	10	3	5	2	+1	-3.1	14
7	Lugano	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.6	13
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-4	+3.3	13
9	Lausanne	10	3	3	4	+5	+4.7	12
10	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+0.8	11
11	Grasshoppers	10	2	3	5	-4	-8.5	9
12	Winterthur	11	0	3	8	-21	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.2	10
3	Thun	5	3	1	1	+4	-2.4	10
4	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.3	10
5	Lausanne	5	3	0	2	+8	+5.6	9
6	Basel	4	3	0	1	+6	+10.0	9
7	Servette	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.7	8
8	Grasshoppers	5	2	1	2	+3	-1.7	7
9	Sion	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.2	7
10	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
11	Luzern	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.8	3
12	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.5	11
3	Luzern	5	3	2	0	+3	-3.9	11
4	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
5	Basel	6	3	0	3	-1	-2.4	9
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.1	7
7	Young Boys	5	2	1	2	-6	-6.3	7
8	Lausanne	5	0	3	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Servette	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
10	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.4	3
11	Grasshoppers	5	0	2	3	-7	-6.8	2
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-16	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.