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Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Hertha
U S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Wolfsburg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +3 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 M'gladbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Bayern Munich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Union Berlin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Wolfsburg
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
29′
31′
🟨 Kevin Mbabu
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
43′
Half-time 0–0
Dodi Lukebakio ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
58′
58′
ℹ️ Dodi Lukebakio
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–0 D. Lukébakio
60′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ J. Dilrosun
67′
70′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ R. Steffen
70′
🔁 L. Nmecha
↦ M. Philipp
73′
🟨 Jérôme Roussillon
73′
R. Baku 1–1
X. Schlager
J. Torunarigha 🔁
↦ D. Boyata
84′
L. Tousart 🔁
↦ D. Selke
84′
D. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
85′
88′
L. Nmecha 1–2
J. Brekalo
89′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ J. Roussillon
91′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ X. Schlager
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark D
27 K. Boateng M
8 S. Serdar M
16 J. Dilrosun M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
7 D. Selke F
11 D. Lukébakio M
Bench (9)
19 S. Jovetić
23 M. Richter
25 J. Torunarigha
29 L. Tousart
42 D. Zeefuik
12 N. Körber
6 V. Darida
13 L. Klünter
17 M. Mittelstädt

Coach: P. Dárdai

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
19 K. Mbabu D
20 R. Baku M
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
17 M. Philipp M
11 R. Steffen M
24 X. Schlager M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
7 J. Brekalo
10 L. Nmecha
31 Y. Gerhardt
23 J. Guilavogui
14 A. Mehmedi
12 P. Pervan
3 S. Bornauw
29 Omar Marmoush
33 D. Ginczek

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U
3,44
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.