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Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Mainz

U T S S T

3–0

Full-time

Greuther Furth

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 11. · Greuther Furth 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.