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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Leverkusen

S U U T U

4–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 14. · M'gladbach 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.