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DFB-Pokal
Referee: B Brand
Schott Mainz
T
1–6
Full-time
Dortmund
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schott Mainz Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
0,0
3,5
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

28% Possession 72%
6 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
9 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Schott Mainz Dortmund
8′
🟨 Emre Can
22′
⚽ S. Haller 0–1
J. Brandt
24′
⚽ J. Brandt 0–2
D. Malen
29′
🔁 N. Schlotterbeck
↦ N. Süle
1–2 N. Gans ⚽
34′
35′
⚽ S. Haller 1–3
Dominik Ahlbach 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–3
N. Obas 🔁
↦ J. Just
46′
L. Kern 🔁
↦ D. Cucchiara
46′
57′
⚽ M. Sabitzer 1–4
J. Roden 🔁
↦ L. Thum
63′
Jacob Roden 🟨
68′
L. Hermann 🔁
↦ N. Embaye
71′
76′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ S. Haller
76′
🔁 M. Wolf
↦ R. Bensebaïni
79′
⚽ D. Malen 1–5
M. Sabitzer
E. Portmann 🔁
↦ N. Schlosser
80′
85′
⚽ Y. Moukoko 1–6
D. Malen
Tim Müller 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Schott Mainz

4-1-4-1
1 T. Hansen G
24 J. Just D
6 D. Ahlbach D
5 N. Gans D
15 N. Schlosser D
31 T. Müller
8 S. Schwarz M
17 D. Cucchiara M
18 N. Embaye M
9 L. Wimmer M
19 L. Thum F
Bench (9)
22 N. Obas
29 L. Kern
26 J. Roden
4 L. Hermann
10 E. Portmann
44 L. Schmidt
25 J. Haas
27 N. Rosenbaum
14 M. Schneider

Coach: A. Aydin

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
5 R. Bensebaïni D
20 M. Sabitzer M
23 E. Can M
21 D. Malen M
11 M. Reus M
19 J. Brandt M
9 S. Haller F
Bench (9)
4 N. Schlotterbeck
18 Y. Moukoko
17 M. Wolf
10 T. Hazard
48 S. Bamba
33 A. Meyer
6 S. Özcan
30 O. Pohlmann
47 A. Papadopoulos

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.