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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Augsburg
S T T T T
4–4
Full-time
M'gladbach
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–3

2,25 xG 1,60
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Augsburg M'gladbach
13′
K. Itakura 0–1
F. Honorat
Niklas Dorsch 🟨
23′
27′
T. Čvančara 0–2
J. Weigl
1–2 E. Rexhbeçaj
S. Michel
29′
32′
🟨 Tomáš Čvančara
37′
N. Ngoumou 1–3
J. Omlin
2–3 M. Bauer
E. Demirović
41′
Half-time 2–3
46′
🟨 Florian Neuhaus
Arne Engels ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
3–3 S. Michel
52′
D. Beljo 🔁
↦ M. Berisha
58′
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ E. Demirović
71′
P. Tietz 🔁
↦ S. Michel
71′
75′
🔁 M. Friedrich
↦ K. Itakura
75′
🔁 R. Hack
↦ A. Pléa
4–3 R. Vargas
P. Tietz
76′
86′
🔁 G. Ranos
↦ N. Ngoumou
86′
🔁 Y. Borges Sanches
↦ L. Netz
89′
🔁 R. Reitz
↦ F. Neuhaus
T. Breithaupt 🔁
↦ N. Dorsch
91′
97′
T. Čvančara 4–4
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-2-2
1 F. Dahmen G
27 A. Engels D
23 M. Bauer D
19 F. Uduokhai D
3 M. Pedersen D
8 E. Rexhbeçaj M
30 N. Dorsch M
16 R. Vargas M
9 E. Demirović M
20 S. Michel F
11 M. Berisha F
Bench (9)
7 D. Beljo
24 F. Jensen
21 P. Tietz
18 T. Breithaupt
26 F. Winther
40 T. Koubek
38 D. Čolina
36 M. Kömür
34 N. Mbuku

Coach: E. Maaßen

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
29 J. Scally D
3 K. Itakura D
39 M. Wöber D
20 L. Netz D
8 J. Weigl M
10 F. Neuhaus M
9 F. Honorat M
14 A. Pléa M
19 N. Ngoumou M
31 T. Čvančara F
Bench (9)
5 M. Friedrich
25 R. Hack
28 G. Ranos
38 Y. Borges Sanches
27 R. Reitz
7 P. Herrmann
2 F. Chiarodia
33 M. Nicolas
24 T. Jantschke

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U ✓
3,69
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.