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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Betis
U S S U U
0–1
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,5
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 9. · Real Madrid 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valencia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Mallorca 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Granada 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Osasuna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Elche 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Celta 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Getafe 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Real Madrid
Nabil Fekir 🟨
23′
Germán Pezzella 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Miguel Gutiérrez
Sergio Canales 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Aitor Ruibal 🟨
46′
Martín Montoya 🟨
59′
61′
Carvajal 0–1
K. Benzema
66′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ Isco
66′
🔁 Asensio
↦ G. Bale
Camarasa 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
70′
Tello 🔁
↦ Aitor Ruibal
70′
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ Juanmi
77′
78′
🔁 E. Hazard
↦ Vinícius Júnior
80′
🟨 Eden Hazard
Joaquín 🔁
↦ Sergio Canales
82′
83′
🔁 Rodrygo
↦ Miguel Gutiérrez
91′
🟨 Casemiro
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
6 Víctor Ruíz D
2 Martín Montoya D
16 G. Pezzella D
33 Juan Miranda D
18 A. Guardado M
10 Sergio Canales M
21 G. Rodríguez M
7 Juanmi F
8 N. Fekir M
24 Aitor Ruibal M
Bench (12)
22 Camarasa
11 Tello
9 Borja Iglesias
17 Joaquín
3 Edgar González
4 P. Akouokou
14 William Carvalho
28 Rodri
19 Y. Fékir
5 Marc Bartra
25 C. Bravo
36 Calderón

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
4 D. Alaba D
2 Carvajal D
3 Éder Militão D
35 Miguel Gutiérrez D
14 Casemiro M
22 Isco M
15 F. Valverde M
9 K. Benzema F
18 G. Bale F
20 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (9)
17 Lucas Vázquez
11 Asensio
7 E. Hazard
21 Rodrygo
27 Antonio Blanco
26 Luis López
16 L. Jović
5 Vallejo
40 Toni Fuidias

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,21
U
3,84
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.