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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

0,0

Scored

1,5

0,0

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

24 Shots 2

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

16 Corners 0

5 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Villarreal 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Mallorca	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Cadiz	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Elche	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Granada	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Celta	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.