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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Twente
S S T S U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,46 xG 0,94
59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Sparta Rotterdam 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 For Sittard 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.8 6
2 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.9 4
3 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.0 3
4 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.0 3
5 Twente 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.5 3
6 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
7 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
8 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.7 1
9 Willem II 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.7 1
10 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
11 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
12 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
13 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.5 0
14 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.7 0
15 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.7 0
16 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.0 0
17 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.0 0
18 Almere City 2 0 0 2 -4 -3.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Half-time 0–0
D. Rots 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
46′
Y. Taha 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
46′
Mees Hilgers 🟨
49′
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ C. Eiting
57′
Y. Regeer 🔁
↦ S. Ltaief
66′
70′
🔁 S. Mito
↦ C. Neghli
1–0 S. Steijn
75′
80′
🔁 C. Brym
↦ P. Clement
80′
🔁 A. Oufkir
↦ M. Nassoh
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 🔁
↦ A. Salah-Eddine
82′
87′
🔁 Metinho
↦ A. Verschueren
87′
🔁 R. Meissen
↦ M. Eerdhuijzen
91′
T. Lauritsen 1–1
A. Oufkir
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
2 M. Hilgers D
38 M. Bruns D
5 B. Kuipers D
6 C. Eiting M
18 M. Vlap M
7 M. van Bergen M
14 S. Steijn M
30 S. Ltaief M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (11)
11 D. Rots
19 Y. Taha
4 M. Kjølø
8 Y. Regeer
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
16 I. El Maach
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
39 M. Rots
24 J. Mesbahi
29 H. Kuster
22 P. Tytoń

Coach: J. Oosting

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 B. Reith D
3 T. Quintero D
4 M. Eerdhuijzen D
5 D. van der Kust D
6 J. Baas M
8 P. Clement M
7 C. Neghli M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 M. Nassoh M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (12)
17 S. Mito
19 C. Brym
21 A. Oufkir
14 Metinho
13 R. Meissen
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
22 M. Young
30 K. Reitmaier
16 J. de Guzmán
15 M. Kleijn
12 S. Bakari
18 H. El Dahri

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
U ✓
4,49
B
5,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.