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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Newcastle
S S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Southampton
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,25 xG 1,77
22% Possession 78%
3 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -23 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 31. Jan -23 Newcastle – Southampton 2–1 24. Jan -23 Southampton – Newcastle 0–1 6. Nov -22 Southampton – Newcastle 1–4 10. Mar -22 Southampton – Newcastle 1–2

Match report

Newcastle Southampton
Lewis Hall 🟨
9′
Fabian Schär 🟥
28′
28′
🟨 Ben Brereton Díaz
E. Krafth 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
30′
1–0 Joelinton ⚽
A. Isak
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Edozie
↦ Y. Sugawara
48′
🟨 Jack Stephens
H. Barnes 🔁
↦ A. Gordon
70′
L. Kelly 🔁
↦ L. Hall
70′
70′
🔁 T. Dibling
↦ J. Aribo
71′
🔁 C. Archer
↦ B. Brereton
73′
🟨 Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Dan Burn 🟨
74′
81′
🔁 S. Amo-Ameyaw
↦ J. Bednarek
81′
🔁 C. Alcaraz
↦ K. Walker-Peters
94′
🟨 Samuel Edozie
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
21 T. Livramento D
5 F. Schär D
33 D. Burn D
20 L. Hall D
36 S. Longstaff M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 Joelinton M
23 J. Murphy F
14 A. Isak F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (9)
17 E. Krafth
11 H. Barnes
25 L. Kelly
24 M. Almirón
18 W. Osula
2 K. Trippier
28 J. Willock
13 M. Targett
1 M. Dúbravka

Coach: E. Howe

Southampton

3-5-2
1 A. McCarthy G
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
35 J. Bednarek D
5 J. Stephens D
16 Y. Sugawara M
8 W. Smallbone M
4 F. Downes M
7 J. Aribo M
2 K. Walker-Peters M
9 A. Armstrong F
17 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
23 S. Edozie
33 T. Dibling
19 C. Archer
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
22 C. Alcaraz
13 J. Lumley
15 N. Wood-Gordon
14 J. Bree
21 C. Taylor

Coach: R. Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
🔒
U
5,62
🔒
B
8,10
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,40
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,01
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.