Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sheffield United
QPR
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
West Brom
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2 |
Sheffield Weds
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +4.4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Burnley
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +0.0 | 3 |
| 4 |
Blackburn
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.0 | 3 |
| 5 |
Sheffield United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 7 |
Oxford
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -1.9 | 3 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.9 | 3 |
| 9 |
Stoke
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Coventry
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 11 |
Middlesbrough
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 12 |
Derby
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.5 | 3 |
| 13 |
Leeds
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +2.5 | 2 |
| 14 |
Portsmouth
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | -2.5 | 2 |
| 15 |
Hull
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 17 |
Luton
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -0.0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Millwall
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.9 | 0 |
| 19 |
Swansea
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.4 | 0 |
| 20 |
QPR
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.6 | 0 |
| 21 |
Preston
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.4 | 0 |
| 22 |
Cardiff
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.8 | 0 |
| 23 |
Norwich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Plymouth
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | -4.4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Davies
G
A. Ahmedhodžić
D
H. Burrows
D
A. Brooks
M
O. Arblaster
M
Vinicius Souza
M
G. Hamer
M
C. O'Hare
F
K. Moore
F
Coach: C. Wilder
P. Nardi
G
J. Dunne
D
J. Clarke-Salter
D
J. Varane
M
S. Field
M
A. Lloyd
M
M. Frey
F
Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
Wrexham
Preston
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
Tottenham
Everton
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
Nott'm Forest
A Backhouse · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.