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Copa del Rey
2–3
Full-time
Girona
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Inter de Valdemoro 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Maracena 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 SD Negreira 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
20 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Constància Girona
I. Sampedro 🔁
↦ M. Ferrer
15′
39′
C. Stuani 0–1
Portu
I. Ojeda 🔁
40′
44′
🟨 Portu
M. Ramon 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 V. Tsygankov
↦ Portu
59′
🔁 A. Martinez
↦ Vitor Reis
66′
🔁 B. Gil
↦ A. Ruiz
J. Estrany 🔁
↦ M. Ramon
73′
J. Socias 🔁
↦ T. Ramis
73′
P. Oliver 🔁
↦ N. Baleani
73′
75′
🔁 T. Lemar
↦ Y. Asprilla
75′
🔁 V. Vanat
↦ C. Stuani
1–1 J. Socias
B. Horrach
77′
J. Socias 🟨
84′
91′
🔁 I. Martin
↦ J. E. Solis Romero
J. Gaya 🟨
94′
L. Jhardi 🔁
↦ B. Horrach
96′
103′
V. Tsygankov 1–2
V. Vanat
104′
🟨 L. Kourouma
M. Buades 🟨
105′
108′
V. Vanat 1–3
T. Lemar
2–3 P. Garcia
120′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Constància

1 P. Segui
19 J. Gaya
4 M. Garcia
5 M. Buades
3 D. Ramos Buades
16 M. Ramon
10 N. Baleani
21 P. Garcia
18 T. Ramis
9 M. Ferrer
6 B. Horrach
Bench (11)
8 J. Estrany
15 Y. Salazar
11 J. Socias
14 A. Giaquinto
2 L. Jhardi
22 I. Ojeda
12 P. Oliver
20 L. Triay
13 M. Galmes
23 I. Sampedro
24 L. Tamarit

Coach: Guillermo Llaneras

Girona

25 V. Krapyvtsov
2 H. Rincon
12 Vitor Reis
31 A. Salguero
44 P. Ba
22 J. E. Solis Romero
29 L. Kourouma
8 Portu
10 Y. Asprilla
7 C. Stuani
9 A. Ruiz
Bench (10)
23 I. Martin
13 P. Gazzaniga
11 T. Lemar
15 V. Tsygankov
4 A. Martinez
19 V. Vanat
27 P. Arnau
21 B. Gil
3 J. Roca
28 G. Jordana

Coach: Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.