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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Lazio
T S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Roma
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
6,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
21 Shots 8
13 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 4. · Roma 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Inter 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Torino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Napoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Roma 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Verona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Spal 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Roma
17′
Aleksandar Kolarov 0–1
Luiz Felipe 🟨
26′
31′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
Bastos 🔁
↦ Luiz Felipe
40′
Half-time 0–1
Ciro Immobile 🟨
55′
1–1 Luis Alberto
Ciro Immobile
58′
Ştefan Radu 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 Javier Pastore
↦ Cengiz Ünder
70′
🟨 Alessandro Florenzi
Marco Parolo 🔁
↦ Sergej Milinković-Savić
71′
Francesco Acerbi 🟨
76′
Jony 🔁
↦ Senad Lulić
78′
79′
🔁 Davide Santon
↦ Nicolò Zaniolo
84′
🟨 Davide Santon
89′
🔁 Amadou Diawara
↦ Alessandro Florenzi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 Thomas Strakosha G
3 Luiz Felipe D
33 Francesco Acerbi D
26 Ştefan Radu D
29 Manuel Lazzari M
21 Sergej Milinković-Savić M
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
19 Senad Lulić M
17 Ciro Immobile F
11 Joaquín Correa F
Bench (12)
23 Guido Guerrieri
24 Silvio Proto
15 Bastos
93 Denis Vavro
4 Patric
77 Adam Marušić
16 Marco Parolo
32 Danilo Cataldi
7 Valon Berisha
22 Jony
20 Felipe Caicedo
34 Bobby Adekanye

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Roma

4-2-3-1
13 Pau López G
24 Alessandro Florenzi D
23 Gianluca Mancini D
20 Federico Fazio D
11 Aleksandar Kolarov D
4 Bryan Cristante M
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M
17 Cengiz Ünder M
22 Nicolò Zaniolo M
99 Justin Kluivert M
9 Edin Džeko F
Bench (11)
83 Antonio Mirante
63 Daniel Fuzato
15 Yıldırım Mert Çetin
6 Chris Smalling
5 Juan Jesus
18 Davide Santon
27 Javier Pastore
48 Mirko Antonucci
21 Jordan Veretout
42 Amadou Diawara
14 Patrik Schick

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,63
B
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.