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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Sampdoria

U S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Torino

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

0,3

2,0

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

10 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 8

0 Offside 5

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 20. · Torino 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Torino	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Roma	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Spal	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Lecce	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Spal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.