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Serie A

Referee: G Ayroldi

Roma

S S T U S

5–2

Full-time

Benevento

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,3

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

6 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 11. · Benevento 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Sassuolo	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Inter	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Verona	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Benevento	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Fiorentina	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
17	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Parma	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Torino	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Inter	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Parma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Lazio	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Inter	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-2	4
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Parma	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.