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Serie A
Referee: D Ghersini
Inter
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Spezia
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 8. · Spezia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Torino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Inter 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Spezia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Salernitana 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Udinese 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Spezia
1–0 Lautaro Martínez
R. Lukaku
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Çalhanoğlu
52′
67′
🔁 P. Hristov
↦ M. Caldara
67′
🔁 D. Strelec
↦ J. Sala
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
68′
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
68′
J. Correa 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
75′
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
75′
79′
🔁 V. Kovalenko
↦ S. Bastoni
3–0 J. Correa
E. Džeko
82′
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ M. Brozović
85′
90′
🔁 M. Ellertsson
↦ K. Agudelo
90′
🔁 E. Holm
↦ E. Gyasi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
37 M. Škriniar D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
32 F. Dimarco M
90 R. Lukaku F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (11)
8 R. Gosens
9 E. Džeko
11 J. Correa
5 R. Gagliardini
14 K. Asllani
42 L. Agoumé
24 A. Onana
33 D. D'Ambrosio
21 A. Cordaz
12 R. Bellanova
36 M. Darmian

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Spezia

3-5-2
69 B. Drągowski G
29 M. Caldara D
14 J. Kiwior D
43 D. Nikolaou D
11 E. Gyasi M
7 J. Sala M
6 M. Bourabia M
20 S. Bastoni M
13 A. Reca M
33 K. Agudelo F
18 M'Bala Nzola F
Bench (13)
15 P. Hristov
44 D. Strelec
24 V. Kovalenko
28 M. Ellertsson
2 E. Holm
1 J. Zoet
77 N. Bertola
40 P. Zovko
89 Leandro Sanca
8 A. Ekdal
17 S. Podgoreanu
23 E. Capradossi
30 D. Maldini

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,90
B
15,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,33
U2,5
3,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.