Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Inter
Spezia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |
Torino
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Inter
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Spezia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Roma
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Salernitana
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |
Cremonese
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Bologna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Lecce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Sampdoria
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 |
Sassuolo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Škriniar
D
S. de Vrij
D
A. Bastoni
D
D. Dumfries
M
N. Barella
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
F. Dimarco
M
R. Lukaku
F
Lautaro Martínez
F
Coach: S. Inzaghi
B. Drągowski
G
J. Kiwior
D
D. Nikolaou
D
E. Gyasi
M
A. Reca
M
Coach: L. Gotti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lecce
Inter
Inter
Sampdoria
Cagliari
Inter
Inter
Empoli
Udinese
Inter
D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.