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Serie A
Referee: F Dionisi
Lecce
U U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Lazio
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,47 xG 1,61
48% Possession 52%
23 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -23 Lazio – Lecce 2–2 4. Jan -23 Lecce – Lazio 2–1 7. Jul -20 Lecce – Lazio 2–1 10. Nov -19 Lazio – Lecce 4–2

Match report

Lecce Lazio
26′
⚽ C. Immobile 0–1
Luis Alberto
Half-time 0–1
54′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ Felipe Anderson
55′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ D. Kamada
A. Blin 🔁
↦ V. Gendrey
65′
A. Gallo 🔁
↦ P. Dorgu
65′
M. Kaba 🔁
↦ H. Rafia
65′
Gabriel Strefezza 🟨
68′
71′
🟨 Gustav Isaksen
72′
🔁 Pedro
↦ M. Zaccagni
72′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ M. Lazzari
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ L. Banda
77′
Marin Pongračić 🟨
80′
Joan González 🟨
80′
R. Burnete 🔁
↦ Joan Gonzàlez
83′
1–1 P. Almqvist ⚽
A. Gallo
85′
2–1 F. Di Francesco ⚽
R. Burnete
87′
88′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ D. Cataldi
94′
🟨 Luca Pellegrini
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lecce

4-3-3
30 W. Falcone G
17 V. Gendrey D
5 M. Pongračić D
6 F. Baschirotto D
13 P. Dorgu D
8 H. Rafia M
20 Y. Ramadani M
16 Joan Gonzàlez M
7 P. Almqvist F
27 Gabriel Strefezza F
22 L. Banda F
Bench (15)
29 A. Blin
25 A. Gallo
77 M. Kaba
11 F. Di Francesco
45 R. Burnete
18 M. Berisha
31 J. Voelkerling Persson
55 K. Dermaku
21 F. Brancolini
14 Þ. Helgason
4 Y. Maleh
98 A. Borbei
83 M. Lemmens
26 Z. Smajlović
24 J. Corfitzen

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
6 D. Kamada M
32 D. Cataldi M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
18 G. Isaksen
5 M. Vecino
9 Pedro
3 L. Pellegrini
19 V. Castellanos
34 Mario Gila
55 A. Furlanetto
31 M. Adamonis
26 T. Bašić
23 E. Hysaj
15 N. Casale
65 N. Rovella

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,74
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
2,09
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,21
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.