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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Strasbourg

S S U U T

2–1

Full-time

Lyon

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,3

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,28 xG 1,77

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 8

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
7	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
12	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
13	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
14	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
5	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
7	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
4	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
7	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.