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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
Mechelen
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Genk
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
79%
58%
Both score Ø 75%
71%
79%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 3
20 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 6. · Genk 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 25 15 5 5 +16 50
2 Club Brugge 22 14 4 4 +29 46
3 Genk 24 12 8 4 +18 44
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 12 7 8 +4 43
5 Waregem 28 13 3 12 +1 42
6 Mechelen 24 12 4 8 +4 40
7 Anderlecht 25 8 13 4 +11 37
8 Beerschot VA 26 11 4 11 -4 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +7 36
10 Charleroi 26 10 5 11 +0 35
11 Gent 24 10 4 10 +9 34
12 Eupen 26 8 10 8 -8 34
13 Kortrijk 26 9 6 11 -5 33
14 Oostende 22 9 5 8 +4 32
15 St Truiden 27 7 7 13 -10 28
16 Cercle Brugge 26 8 1 17 -10 25
17 Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21
20 Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Genk
Lucas Bijker 🟨
5′
9′
🟨 Ángelo Preciado
I. Kaboré 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
13′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Kristian Thorstvedt
Joachim Van Damme 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 D. Muñoz
↦ A. Preciado
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
67′
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ I. de Camargo
67′
77′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ J. Ito
S. Defour 🔁
↦ R. Schoofs
86′
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
86′
90′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
7 G. Hairemans F
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved F
Bench (7)
29 I. Kaboré
40 A. Vranckx
9 F. Druijf
88 S. Defour
8 O. Kaya
1 G. Coucke
14 S. Voet

Coach: W. Vrancken

Genk

3-4-3
1 D. Vuković G
33 J. Lucumí D
2 M. McKenzie D
77 A. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
14 B. Toma M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
23 D. Muñoz
24 L. Oyen
21 J. Uronen
26 M. Vandevoordt
80 P. Dwomoh
9 C. Dessers
17 P. Hrošovský

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,35
B
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.