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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Charleroi
T S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Waregem
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 29/35 matches
Win Ø 37%
48%
26%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
62%
63%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Waregem 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +49 70
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Anderlecht 29 18 8 3 +47 62
4 Antwerp 30 19 5 6 +22 62
5 Gent 29 15 8 6 +21 53
6 St Truiden 35 15 6 14 -1 51
7 Charleroi 29 14 7 8 +11 49
8 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
9 Genk 29 14 5 10 +23 47
10 Mechelen 29 14 5 10 +1 47
11 Kortrijk 35 11 10 14 +0 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 10 12 13 -8 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 35 10 9 16 -16 39
15 Waregem 35 9 8 18 -27 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 33 8 4 21 -36 28
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Waregem
1–0 V. Bayo
A. Zorgane
3′
2–0 V. Bayo
R. Morioka
16′
2–1 I. Seck
own goal
28′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 L. De Bock
↦ T. Derijck
46′
🔁 B. Sørmo
↦ J. Dompé
64′
🔁 O. Govea
↦ D. Kutesa
64′
🔁 Dion-Johan Cools
↦ W. De Buyser
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
67′
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ V. Bayo
68′
78′
🟨 Omar Govea
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
78′
79′
🟨 Laurens De Bock
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
79′
M. Wasinski 🔁
↦ S. Knežević
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
5 L. Bessilé D
25 V. Ozornwafor D
44 R. Morioka F
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
18 D. Heymans F
6 A. Zorgane M
9 V. Bayo F
28 K. Nkuba M
Bench (7)
8 A. Gholizadeh
10 Y. Badji
70 A. Zaroury
7 I. Mbenza
31 M. Wasinski
1 B. Kamara
21 S. Andreou

Coach: E. Still

Waregem

4-4-2
1 S. Bossut G
76 T. Derijck D
14 A. Ciranni D
24 E. Pletinckx D
57 W. De Buyser D
21 I. Seck M
16 A. Sissako M
9 J. Vossen F
93 Z. Gano F
17 J. Dompé M
19 D. Kutesa M
Bench (7)
27 L. De Bock
22 B. Sørmo
10 O. Govea
5 Dion-Johan Cools
98 I. Doumbia
50 S. Van Damme
15 F. Boya

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,39
B
6,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.