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Bundesliga

Referee: D Pfister

Hartberg

T T S T S

0–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 8. · SK Rapid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	3	2	0	+9	+4.2	11
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.8	10
3	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.9	9
4	Altach	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
5	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
6	Ried	5	2	1	2	+1	-2.4	7
7	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.1	6
8	Hartberg	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.4	6
9	Grazer AK	5	0	3	2	-8	-3.0	3
10	LASK	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.0	3
11	Austria Vienna	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.0	1
12	BW Linz	5	0	1	4	-7	-2.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.7	7
2	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
3	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
4	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.1	3
6	LASK	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.9	3
7	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.2	2
8	Ried	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
9	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.3	0
12	Austria Vienna	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.9	9
2	Ried	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.9	6
3	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.0	6
4	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.4	6
5	Altach	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
6	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
7	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
8	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
10	BW Linz	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.8	1
11	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.7	1
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.