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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Aalesund
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Valerenga
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
8%
54%
Points per game
0,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
79%
58%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
4,0
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,9
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Valerenga 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 24 21 2 1 +56 65
2 Molde 25 16 2 7 +32 50
3 Rosenborg 24 13 6 5 +18 45
4 Valerenga 24 13 6 5 +13 45
5 Odd 24 13 3 8 +9 42
6 Kristiansund 24 9 10 5 +11 37
7 Viking 24 9 6 9 -1 33
8 Stabaek 25 7 10 8 -6 31
9 Haugesund 24 9 4 11 -9 31
10 Sarpsborg 08 24 8 4 12 -4 28
11 Sandefjord 24 8 4 12 -12 28
12 Brann 24 6 7 11 -11 25
13 Stromsgodset 24 5 9 10 -15 24
14 Start 24 5 7 12 -16 22
15 Mjondalen 24 6 2 16 -20 20
16 Aalesund 24 2 4 18 -45 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Valerenga
1–0 P. Bizoza ⚽
S. Nordli
32′
Half-time 1–0
Ben Kantie Karamoko 🟨
54′
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ V. Fiskerstrand
61′
64′
⚽ A. Dønnum 1–1
65′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ H. Shala
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ I. Uzochukwu
73′
80′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ H. Bjørdal
80′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ V. Kjartansson
P. Larsen 🔁
↦ P. Bizoza
81′
Sigurd Haugen 🟨
90′
Kasper Jørgensen 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 B. Stokke
↦ O. Sahraoui
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

5-4-1
25 G. Kongshavn G
4 J. Grønner D
39 B. Karamoko D
18 D. Ólafsson D
6 D. Klinkenberg D
21 K. Jørgensen D
20 P. Bizoza M
30 I. Uzochukwu M
11 S. Nordli M
7 Nenass M
36 V. Fiskerstrand F
Bench (8)
22 S. Haugen
41 M. Karlsbakk
19 P. Larsen
17 M. Diaw
24 E. Mwimba
15 S. Sæthre
2 S. Sno
1 A. Lie

Coach: L. Nilsen

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
8 M. Lekven M
6 H. Shala M
7 H. Bjørdal M
9 A. Dønnum F
26 O. Sahraoui F
24 V. Kjartansson F
Bench (7)
11 B. Finne
15 O. Holm
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
20 B. Stokke
23 F. Myhre
3 J. Bjørdal
1 K. Haug

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.