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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Dortmund

S S U S S

6–1

Full-time

M'gladbach

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

80%

40%

Points per game

2,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

79% Possession 21%

18 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 0

5 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 2. · M'gladbach 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Augsburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Hannover	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Hamburg	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Freiburg	6	0	4	2	-7	4
17	Werder Bremen	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	FC Koln	5	0	0	5	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Augsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
13	Freiburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Hannover	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Werder Bremen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Freiburg	3	0	1	2	-7	1
15	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Stuttgart	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.