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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Ham-Kam
T U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
46%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,84 xG 1,48
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 8. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 25 16 6 3 +36 +18.7 54
2 Brann 25 14 7 4 +15 +11.6 49
3 Molde 25 13 5 7 +25 +16.2 44
4 Viking 24 12 7 5 +15 +13.1 43
5 Rosenborg 25 12 4 9 +5 +2.1 40
6 Fredrikstad 24 11 7 6 +3 +2.1 40
7 KFUM Oslo 24 8 9 7 +1 +7.2 33
8 Ham-Kam 24 7 8 9 +1 -2.4 29
9 Tromso 25 8 5 12 -5 -11.9 29
10 Kristiansund 24 7 8 9 -8 -10.2 29
11 Stromsgodset 24 7 7 10 -9 -6.1 28
12 Sarpsborg 08 24 7 5 12 -15 -6.8 26
13 Sandefjord 25 6 7 12 -8 -2.8 25
14 Haugesund 24 6 5 13 -14 -6.7 23
15 Odd 24 5 7 12 -18 -15.5 22
16 Lillestrom 24 6 3 15 -24 -8.5 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Sarpsborg 08
6′
F. Carstensen 0–1
J. Inge Berget
39′
F. Carstensen 0–2
J. Inge Berget
Tore Andre Soras 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
A. Ekeroth 🔁
↦ J. Norheim
46′
K. Onsrud 🔁
↦ M. Johnsgård
46′
P. Kirkevold 🔁
↦ M. Mawa
46′
47′
🟨 Aimar Sher
64′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ S. Christiansen
72′
🟨 Eirik Wichne
73′
🔁 H. Tangen
↦ V. Halvorsen
73′
🔁 N. Sandberg
↦ S. Ørjasæter
73′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ F. Carstensen
W. Kurtović 🔁
↦ T. Sørås
80′
87′
🔁 S. Guðjohnsen
↦ J. Inge Berget
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ G. Simenstad
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
22 S. Strand Nilsen
14 L. Mares D
23 F. Sjølstad D
6 J. Norheim D
2 V. Kongsro D
18 G. Simenstad M
11 T. Sørås M
8 M. Johnsgård M
10 M. Mawa F
77 M. Ofkir F
Bench (9)
5 A. Ekeroth
7 K. Onsrud
16 P. Kirkevold
19 W. Kurtović
9 H. Udahl
24 A. Ødegård
26 B. Bjarnason
30 A. Nilsson
33 L. Utkilen

Coach: J. Michelsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-3-3
13 C. Eriksson G
72 S. Christiansen D
2 M. Koch D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
20 P. Reinhardsen D
22 V. Halvorsen M
6 A. Sher M
10 S. Johansen M
16 F. Carstensen F
14 J. Inge Berget F
27 S. Ørjasæter F
Bench (9)
32 E. Wichne
8 H. Tangen
23 N. Sandberg
7 A. Sanyang
19 S. Guðjohnsen
26 D. Job
40 L. Øy
25 J. Gregersen
4 N. Skuseth

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.