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Copa del Rey
Referee: Manuel Orellana
2–0
Full-time
Fuenlabrada
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Mollerussa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Santa Amalia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
25 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Rincón 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
31 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

CD Coria Fuenlabrada
21′
🟨 I. Salvador
1–0 Alberto Bernardo
41′
Half-time 1–0
J. de Diego 🟨
50′
2–0 Cera
Alberto Bernardo
55′
S. Luque 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 M. Iribas
68′
🔁 Cristóbal
↦ Sergio Cubero
68′
🔁 Fer Ruiz
↦ Álex Alegría
Félix Ledesma 🔁
↦ Álex Hernández
78′
79′
🔁 Álvaro Barbosa
↦ Diego Aguirre
79′
🔁 Javi Robles
↦ Diego García
85′
🟥 I. Salvador
Deco 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Enzo
Adrià 🔁
↦ Traver
88′
Alberto Vadillo 🔁
↦ Deco
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

CD Coria

1 Diego Mirón
2 Cera
20 Asiel Mateo
17 Joserra
4 Pedro Melli
6 Deco
8 Álex Hernández
18 Sergio Gómez
11 Santi Luque
10 Traver
14 Alberto Bernardo
Bench (7)
19 Félix Ledesma
9 Adrià
7 Alberto Vadillo
13 Toni Varea
22 Dani Mori
15 Álex Rodríguez
23 Pablo De Plasencia

Coach: Alberto Urquía

Fuenlabrada

1 Pol Freixanet
18 Christian Bolaño
19 Mikel Iribas
22 Aleix Coch
20 Sergio Cubero
21 M. Diamé
3 Diego Aguirre
7 E. Zidane
11 Álex Alegría
6 Iban Salvador
9 Diego García
Bench (9)
8 Cristóbal
17 Fer Ruiz
14 Álvaro Barbosa
23 Javi Robles
13 D. Hernández
5 Juanma
10 Álvaro Bravo
25 Iñaki León
26 Caravantes

Coach: Mere

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.