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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Schalke 04
T S T S U
1–3
Full-time
FC Koln
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,0
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 12. · FC Koln 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Greuther Furth 4 2 2 0 +6 8
3 Magdeburg 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Hamburg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Paderborn 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Karlsruhe 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Hannover 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Kaiserslautern 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Elversberg 4 1 2 1 +3 5
11 FC Koln 3 1 1 1 +4 4
12 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +2 4
13 Nurnberg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Regensburg 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Preußen Münster 4 0 1 3 -6 1
16 Darmstadt 4 0 1 3 -8 1
17 Ulm 3 0 0 3 -3 0
18 Braunschweig 3 0 0 3 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 FC Koln
25′
D. Downs 0–1
D. Ljubičić
Half-time 0–2
46′
L. Maina 0–2
C. Antwi-Adjei 🔁
↦ I. Hamache
46′
46′
T. Lemperle 0–3
L. Paqarada
53′
🟨 Julian Pauli
57′
🟨 Eric Martel
A. Younes 🔁
↦ P. Seguin
58′
M. Aydın 🔁
↦ A. Gantenbein
58′
1–3 K. Karaman
66′
Ibrahima Cissé 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 E. Bakatukanda
↦ D. Heintz
78′
🟨 Elias Bakatukanda
82′
🔁 S. Tigges
↦ T. Lemperle
84′
🟨 Jan Thielmann
A. Donkor 🔁
↦ T. Mohr
85′
90′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ D. Downs
Mehmet Aydın 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
28 J. Heekeren G
17 A. Gantenbein D
22 I. Cissé D
6 R. Schallenberg D
5 D. Murkin D
7 P. Seguin M
14 J. Bachmann M
24 I. Hamache M
19 K. Karaman M
29 T. Mohr M
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
8 A. Younes
23 M. Aydın
30 A. Donkor
37 M. Grüger
21 M. Wasinski
35 M. Kamiński
2 F. Sánchez
1 R. Hoffmann

Coach: K. Geraerts

FC Koln

4-2-2-2
40 J. Urbig G
29 J. Thielmann D
24 J. Pauli D
3 D. Heintz D
17 L. Paqarada D
6 E. Martel M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
7 D. Ljubičić M
37 L. Maina M
19 T. Lemperle F
42 D. Downs F
Bench (9)
38 E. Bakatukanda
21 S. Tigges
9 L. Waldschmidt
47 M. Olesen
18 R. Carstensen
43 J. Čuber Potočnik
16 M. Obuz
23 S. Adamyan
1 M. Schwäbe

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,73
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.