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Ligue 2

Pau FC

S S T T U

2–0

Full-time

Bastia

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 8

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pau FC 14. · Bastia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Paris FC	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Sochaux	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Auxerre	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Nimes	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Quevilly Rouen	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Niort	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Ajaccio	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Le Havre	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Bastia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valenciennes	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Rodez	4	1	2	1	-3	5
14	Pau FC	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Guingamp	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Dunkerque	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Nancy	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Grenoble	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Nimes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Caen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Pau FC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Niort	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Bastia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Valenciennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nimes	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Le Havre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Ajaccio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Guingamp	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Dunkerque	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Grenoble	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.