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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Annecy
U S U S T
0–2
Full-time
Bastia
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Annecy Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 22%
22%
22%
Average goals
1,6
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Annecy 16. · Bastia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sochaux 9 6 1 2 +12 19
2 Le Havre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
3 Bordeaux 9 5 2 2 +8 17
4 Amiens 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 Guingamp 8 5 1 2 +6 16
6 Caen 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Valenciennes 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 Grenoble 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Bastia 9 4 1 4 -3 13
10 Metz 9 3 2 4 +2 11
11 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
12 Dijon 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Paris FC 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Laval 9 3 1 5 -3 10
15 Pau FC 9 2 4 3 -6 10
16 Annecy 9 2 3 4 -2 9
17 Rodez 8 2 3 3 -4 9
18 Nimes 9 2 2 5 -4 8
19 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 4 4 -7 7
20 Niort 9 2 1 6 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Annecy Bastia
27′
🟨 Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye
32′
Dylan Tavares 0–1
M. Alfarela
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 F. Magri
↦ A. Robic
I. Baldé 🔁
↦ M. Sahi
62′
R. Spano 🔁
↦ A. Bosetti
69′
S. Shamal 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
70′
79′
🔁 D. Guidi
↦ Dylan Tavares
J. Rocchi 🔁
↦ C. Billemaz
82′
A. Temanfo 🔁
↦ K. Testud
82′
83′
🔁 L. Palun
↦ J. Sainati
84′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ S. Salles-Lamonge
90′
K. Van Den Kerkhof 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Annecy

3-5-2
1 F. Escales G
6 F. Lajugie D
14 K. Mouanga D
4 B. Mendy D
12 K. Testud M
17 V. Pajot M
5 A. Kashi M
24 Y. Demoncy M
22 C. Billemaz M
20 M. Sahi F
23 A. Bosetti F
Bench (7)
7 I. Baldé
9 R. Spano
27 S. Shamal
11 J. Rocchi
3 A. Temanfo
13 G. Jean
16 T. Callens

Coach: L. Guyot

Bastia

3-4-1-2
30 J. Placide G
28 J. Sainati D
25 A. Ndiaye D
20 K. Kaïboué D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
42 Dylan Tavares M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge F
86 A. Robic F
27 M. Alfarela F
Bench (7)
11 F. Magri
6 D. Guidi
23 L. Palun
78 M. Camara
1 Z. Boucher
9 B. Santelli
4 A. Roncaglia

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,00
B ✓
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,54
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.