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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Pau FC

S S T T U

2–6

Full-time

Bastia

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 38%

29%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

34%

Both score Ø 43%

46%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 14. · Bastia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	35	19	14	2	+28	71
2	Bordeaux	36	20	9	7	+25	69
3	Metz	35	18	11	6	+26	65
4	Bastia	35	16	8	11	+4	56
5	Caen	35	15	10	10	+8	55
6	Sochaux	35	15	7	13	+17	52
7	Grenoble	36	14	9	13	+0	51
8	St Etienne	35	13	10	12	+2	49
9	Quevilly Rouen	35	12	13	10	+2	49
10	Guingamp	35	13	9	13	+1	48
11	Paris FC	35	13	9	13	+0	48
12	Amiens	35	12	8	15	-11	44
13	Rodez	36	10	13	13	-5	43
14	Pau FC	35	10	11	14	-10	41
15	Annecy	35	10	11	14	-12	41
16	Laval	36	12	4	20	-15	40
17	Valenciennes	35	8	15	12	-8	39
18	Dijon	35	9	11	15	-5	38
19	Nimes	35	9	6	20	-17	33
20	Niort	35	7	6	22	-30	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	18	12	4	2	+19	40
2	Caen	18	11	5	2	+16	38
3	Le Havre	17	10	7	0	+15	37
4	Bastia	18	11	3	4	+11	36
5	Metz	18	9	7	2	+12	34
6	Grenoble	18	9	5	4	+5	32
7	Sochaux	18	9	4	5	+14	31
8	St Etienne	17	8	4	5	+3	28
9	Annecy	18	8	4	6	-1	28
10	Quevilly Rouen	18	6	9	3	+6	27
11	Dijon	18	7	6	5	+4	27
12	Amiens	17	8	3	6	+1	27
13	Valenciennes	18	5	11	2	+3	26
14	Nimes	17	8	2	7	+3	26
15	Laval	18	8	2	8	+1	26
16	Guingamp	17	6	3	8	+0	21
17	Paris FC	17	6	3	8	+0	21
18	Pau FC	17	5	6	6	-4	21
19	Rodez	18	4	7	7	-8	19
20	Niort	17	5	2	10	-12	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	18	9	7	2	+13	34
2	Metz	17	9	4	4	+14	31
3	Bordeaux	18	8	5	5	+6	29
4	Guingamp	18	7	6	5	+1	27
5	Paris FC	18	7	6	5	+0	27
6	Rodez	18	6	6	6	+3	24
7	Quevilly Rouen	17	6	4	7	-4	22
8	Sochaux	17	6	3	8	+3	21
9	St Etienne	18	5	6	7	-1	21
10	Pau FC	18	5	5	8	-6	20
11	Bastia	17	5	5	7	-7	20
12	Grenoble	18	5	4	9	-5	19
13	Caen	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Amiens	18	4	5	9	-12	17
15	Laval	18	4	2	12	-16	14
16	Annecy	17	2	7	8	-11	13
17	Valenciennes	17	3	4	10	-11	13
18	Dijon	17	2	5	10	-9	11
19	Niort	18	2	4	12	-18	10
20	Nimes	18	1	4	13	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.