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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Atalanta

T S S S T

1–3

Full-time

Sampdoria

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,5

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,8

3,5

Scored

3,5

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

10 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 4. · Sampdoria 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Inter	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Verona	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Roma	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Benevento	4	2	0	2	-4	6
10	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Fiorentina	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Parma	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Torino	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+3	5
5	Roma	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Inter	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Parma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Lazio	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Inter	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-2	4
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-6	1
16	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.