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LaLiga2

Logrones

U T S T U

2–3

Full-time

Lugo

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Logrones Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 30%

17%

43%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

17%

43%

Both score Ø 31%

33%

29%

Average goals

1,3

2,1

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 7

5 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Logrones 19. · Lugo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Fuenlabrada	7	3	4	0	+4	13
3	Vallecano	7	4	1	2	+3	13
4	Sp Gijon	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Malaga	7	4	1	2	-2	13
6	Ponferradina	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Las Palmas	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Mallorca	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Leganes	7	4	0	3	+1	12
10	Cartagena	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Mirandes	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Lugo	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Castellon	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Oviedo	7	1	4	2	-2	7
15	Tenerife	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Girona	5	2	0	3	-4	6
17	Alcorcon	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	Zaragoza	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Logrones	6	1	2	3	-2	5
20	Albacete	7	1	2	4	-4	5
21	Almeria	5	1	1	3	-2	4
22	Sabadell	5	0	0	5	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Las Palmas	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Fuenlabrada	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sp Gijon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Malaga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Lugo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Albacete	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Zaragoza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Logrones	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Castellon	3	1	0	2	+0	3
19	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Mirandes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
21	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ponferradina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Mirandes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Malaga	4	2	0	2	-4	6
6	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Mallorca	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Cartagena	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Leganes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Lugo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Girona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Logrones	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Alcorcon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Tenerife	4	0	1	3	-5	1
21	Albacete	4	0	1	3	-5	1
22	Sabadell	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.