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Premier League

Referee: M Atkinson

Man United

S T S T S

0–0

Full-time

Chelsea

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

100%

80%

Both score Ø 80%

100%

60%

Average goals

5,3

4,4

Scored

2,3

2,6

Conceded

3,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 15. · Chelsea 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Aston Villa	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Leeds	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Liverpool	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Leicester	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Arsenal	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Wolves	5	3	0	2	-2	9
9	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+7	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	West Ham	6	2	2	2	+4	8
12	Man City	5	2	2	1	+0	8
13	Southampton	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Newcastle	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Man United	4	2	0	2	-3	6
16	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	West Brom	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Sheffield United	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Fulham	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Aston Villa	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Leeds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Man City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Sheffield United	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Man United	2	0	0	2	-7	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Wolves	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Man City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Brighton	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	West Brom	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.