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Serie B

Perugia

U U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Brescia

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,8

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

29%

86%

Both score Ø 65%

43%

86%

Average goals

1,9

4,4

Scored

1,1

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 5

1 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 3

18 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 9. · Brescia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Lecce	8	4	3	1	+5	15
3	Cremonese	7	5	0	2	+5	15
4	Brescia	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Ascoli	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Reggina	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Benevento	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Cittadella	7	4	0	3	-1	12
9	Perugia	7	2	4	1	+3	10
10	Frosinone	7	2	4	1	+3	10
11	Cosenza	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Ternana	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Parma	7	2	3	2	+2	9
14	Monza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
15	Spal	7	2	2	3	+3	8
16	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Como	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Vicenza	8	1	0	7	-7	3
20	Pordenone	8	0	1	7	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Cremonese	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Cosenza	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Spal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Benevento	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Lecce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Monza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Crotone	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Brescia	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Ascoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Alessandria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Perugia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Vicenza	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ascoli	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Perugia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Lecce	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Parma	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Como	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Reggina	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Ternana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Vicenza	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Cittadella	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Monza	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Alessandria	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Spal	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.