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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Ternana
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 16. · Cosenza 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ascoli 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Genoa 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Cagliari 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Reggina 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Frosinone 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Cosenza 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Brescia 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Bari 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Parma 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Palermo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Venezia 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Benevento 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Spal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Modena 4 1 0 3 +0 3
16 Ternana 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Como 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Pisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Perugia 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Sudtirol 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Cosenza
-5′
🟨 Leonardo Marson
1–0 A. Favilli
A. Partipilo
17′
Anthony Partipilo 🟨
29′
Andrea Favilli 🟨
36′
45′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
Half-time 1–0
Frederik Sørensen ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
49′
Frederik Sørensen 🟥
50′
52′
E. Brignola 1–1
L. Bogdan 🔁
↦ F. Cassata
54′
58′
🟨 Idriz Voca
62′
🟨 Ciro Panico
65′
🔁 P. Gozzi
↦ C. Panico
65′
🔁 D. Merola
↦ A. Florenzi
S. Diakité 🔁
↦ M. Defendi
67′
C. Falletti 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
67′
Antonio Palumbo 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 M. Venturi
↦ C. DUrso
72′
🔁 K. Butić
↦ J. Larrivey
Raul Moro 🔁
↦ D. Agazzi
79′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
79′
81′
🔁 A. Vallocchia
↦ I. Voca
84′
🟨 Pietro Martino
92′
🟨 Michael Venturi
Anthony Partipilo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ternana

4-3-2-1
1 A. Iannarilli G
25 M. Defendi D
4 F. Sørensen D
19 M. Capuano D
91 N. Corrado D
34 D. Agazzi M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
5 A. Palumbo M
21 A. Partipilo M
29 F. Cassata M
17 A. Favilli F
Bench (12)
26 L. Bogdan
23 S. Diakité
10 C. Falletti
18 Raul Moro
2 M. Coulibaly
13 V. Mantovani
8 M. Proietti
12 T. Krapikas
20 F. Paghera
16 P. Rovaglia
9 A. Donnarumma
24 L. Ghiringhelli

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
31 K. Matošević G
27 P. Martino D
5 M. Rigione D
15 S. Väisänen D
14 C. Panico D
42 I. Voca M
4 M. Brescianini M
11 E. Brignola M
10 C. D'Urso M
34 A. Florenzi M
9 J. Larrivey F
Bench (12)
25 P. Gozzi
18 D. Merola
23 M. Venturi
32 K. Butić
21 A. Vallocchia
77 L. Marson
40 M. Zilli
67 T. Prestianni
48 A. Arioli
13 A. Meroni
6 G. Calò
28 A. Sidibe

Coach: D. Dionigi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,65
B
4,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.