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Serie B
Referee: L Massimi
Frosinone
U T U U T
0–3
Full-time
Bari
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
26 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
10 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 20. · Bari 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Sassuolo 6 3 2 1 +1 11
3 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
4 Brescia 6 3 0 3 +2 9
5 Spezia 5 2 3 0 +2 9
6 Sudtirol 6 3 0 3 +0 9
7 Modena 6 2 2 2 +2 8
8 Cesena 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Reggiana 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Palermo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Juve Stabia 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Salernitana 6 2 1 3 -1 7
15 Mantova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
16 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Bari 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -2 5
19 Carrarese 5 1 0 4 -4 3
20 Frosinone 5 0 3 2 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Bari
32′
🟨 Andrea Oliveri
Sergio Kalaj 🟨
35′
Jérémy Oyono 🟨
44′
45′
⚽ M. Maita 0–1
Half-time 0–1
G. Kvernadze 🔁
↦ J. Oyono
46′
53′
⚽ M. Dorval 0–2
57′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ A. Novakovich
57′
🔁 A. Tripaldelli
↦ A. Oliveri
T. Begić 🔁
↦ A. Partipilo
58′
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ G. Ambrosino
58′
José Machín 🔁
↦ M. Cichella
58′
65′
⚽ A. Favilli 0–3
Ahmad Benali
72′
🔁 M. Pissardo
↦ B. Radunović
D. Bettella 🔁
↦ S. Kalaj
80′
82′
🔁 L. Sgarbi
↦ C. Falletti
82′
🔁 C. Saco
↦ M. Maita
Frank Tsadjout 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-4-2-1
13 A. Sorrentino G
30 I. Monterisi D
23 S. Kalaj D
3 R. Marchizza D
21 J. Oyono M
64 M. Cichella M
14 F. Gelli M
20 A. Oyono M
70 A. Partipilo F
10 G. Ambrosino F
74 F. Tsadjout F
Bench (12)
17 G. Kvernadze
11 T. Begić
28 F. Distefano
77 José Machín
18 D. Bettella
99 F. Sene
79 G. Bracaglia
16 L. Garritano
25 P. Szymiński
12 F. Minicangeli
1 P. Frattali
8 İ. Vural

Coach: V. Vivarini

Bari

3-5-2
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
3 V. Mantovani D
7 A. Oliveri M
28 N. Lella M
8 Ahmad Benali M
4 M. Maita M
93 M. Dorval M
9 A. Novakovich F
19 C. Falletti F
Bench (12)
99 A. Favilli
13 A. Tripaldelli
22 M. Pissardo
11 L. Sgarbi
94 C. Saco
18 G. Manzari
15 K. Lasagna
17 R. Maiello
10 N. Bellomo
20 G. Sibilli
55 N. Obaretin
27 C. Favasuli

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,24
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

L Massimi · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.