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Serie B

Referee: M Perri

Sampdoria

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Sudtirol

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

0,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 20. · Sudtirol 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Brescia	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Spezia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
5	Sudtirol	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Cosenza	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Sassuolo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Cesena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Reggiana	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Palermo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Mantova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Salernitana	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Catanzaro	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Modena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Bari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-5	3
20	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cosenza	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bari	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Cittadella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
4	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Spezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Catanzaro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Mantova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cesena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.