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Coppa Italia
Referee: V Crezzini
Parma
U T T U S
2–0
Full-time
Pescara
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Pescara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Virtus Entella 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Como 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Pescara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Audace Cerignola 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Palermo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -4 0
24 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Pescara
Mandela Keita 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Pellegrino
E. Valeri
47′
Adrián Bernabé 🟨
57′
N. Estevez 🔁
↦ M. Keita
62′
O. Sorensen 🔁
↦ A. Bernabe
62′
63′
🔁 N. Squizzato
↦ D. Merola
2–0 M. Pellegrino
E. Valeri
65′
M. Frigan 🔁
↦ P. Almqvist
79′
83′
🔁 L. Meazzi
↦ G. Cangiano
83′
🔁 L. Berardi
↦ L. Graziani
86′
🔁 R. Tonin
↦ L. Sgarbi
86′
🔁 J. La Barba
↦ G. Letizia
A. Benedyczak 🔁
↦ M. Pellegrino
90′
E. Plicco 🔁
↦ C. Ordonez
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Parma

3-4-2-1
31 Z. Suzuki G
15 E. Delprato D
39 A. Circati D
5 L. Valenti D
18 M. Lovik M
10 A. Bernabe M
16 M. Keita M
14 E. Valeri M
11 P. Almqvist F
24 C. Ordonez F
9 M. Pellegrino F
Bench (14)
40 E. Corvi
66 F. Rinaldi
3 A. Ndiaye
4 B. Balogh
7 A. Benedyczak
8 N. Estevez
19 T. Begic
20 M. Frigan
21 A. Joujou
22 O. Sorensen
30 M. Djuric
60 P. Amoran
65 E. Plicco
77 D. Sits

Coach: Carlos Cuesta

Pescara

3-4-2-1
1 S. Desplanches G
95 G. Corbo D
35 D. Giannini D
3 G. Letizia D
14 L. Valzania M
8 M. Dagasso M
20 L. Graziani M
11 G. Cangiano M
10 D. Merola F
27 G. Olzer F
18 L. Sgarbi F
Bench (13)
12 N. Profeta
22 I. Saio
6 N. Squizzato
7 L. Meazzi
15 R. Tonin
17 G. Tunjov
19 M. Balzano
21 A. Ferraris
24 J. La Barba
30 G. Saccomanni
36 L. Berardi
73 E. Kraja
85 M. Milan

Coach: Giorgio Gorgone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.