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Serie B

Referee: Andrea Zanotti

Carrarese

S T U T S

0–0

Full-time

Padova

T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Padova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,3

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Carrarese 6. · Padova 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Virtus Entella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.