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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
La Coruna
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Ferrol
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 20. · Ferrol 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Albacete 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Santander 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Malaga 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Almeria 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Burgos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Mirandes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Oviedo 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Granada 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Cadiz 3 0 2 1 -4 2
16 Cordoba 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Castellon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Tenerife 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 La Coruna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
22 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Ferrol
38′
🔁 Julián Delmás
↦ Aitor Buñuel
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 Eneko Jauregi
↦ Álvaro Giménez
47′
🟨 Christian Borrego
Ximo Navarro 🟨
48′
1–0 Yeremay Hernández
David Mella
55′
M. Bouldini 🔁
↦ Barbero
66′
68′
🔁 Aitor Gelardo
↦ Luis Perea
69′
🔁 Álvaro Sanz
↦ Fran Manzanara
80′
🔁 Moi Delgado
↦ Brais Martínez
Mario Soriano 🟨
81′
O. Mfulu 🔁
↦ José Ángel
82′
Álex Petxa 🔁
↦ David Mella
82′
Davo 🔁
↦ Mario Soriano
82′
Rafael Obrador 🔁
↦ Yeremay Hernández
89′
Jaime Sánchez 🔁
↦ Diego Villares
93′
Rafael Obrador 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-4-2
25 Helton Leite G
23 Ximo Navarro D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
4 P. Martínez D
17 David Mella D
10 Yeremay Hernández M
8 Diego Villares M
20 José Ángel M
21 Mario Soriano M
7 Lucas Pérez F
9 Barbero F
Bench (11)
24 M. Bouldini
12 O. Mfulu
6 Álex Petxa
11 Davo
33 Rafael Obrador
19 Jaime Sánchez
1 Germán Parreño
28 C. Patino
5 Dani Barcia
22 Hugo Rama
13 Eric Puerto

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Ferrol

4-3-3
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
18 Brais Martínez D
24 Luis Perea M
16 Fran Manzanara M
10 Josep Señé M
17 Josué Dorrio F
20 Álvaro Giménez F
7 Chiki F
Bench (10)
2 Julián Delmás
9 Eneko Jauregi
14 Aitor Gelardo
6 Álvaro Sanz
21 Moi Delgado
1 Emilio Bernad
26 David Carballo
19 Manu Vallejo
13 Yoel Rodríguez
8 Álex López

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,27
B
4,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.