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Serie A

Referee: A Colombo

Fiorentina

S U U U U

2–2

Full-time

Monza

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

0,5

Scored

0,5

0,0

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,07 xG 0,30

68% Possession 32%

15 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 13. · Monza 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+6	+1.9	7
2	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.7	7
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.7	6
4	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.4	6
5	Empoli	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
6	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+1	+3.0	4
7	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
8	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
9	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
10	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
11	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
12	Lecce	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
13	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
14	Milan	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
15	Cagliari	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
16	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.8	2
17	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
18	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
19	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
20	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.5	4
4	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
8	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
9	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.3	3
10	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.7	2
11	Cagliari	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
12	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
15	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
16	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
2	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
6	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
10	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
12	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
13	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
16	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
18	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0
19	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.