Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Bayern Munich

T S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Freiburg

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Bayern Munich Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,69 xG 1,09

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 8. · Freiburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Heidenheim	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
2	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.9	6
3	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Union Berlin	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
6	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
7	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
8	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.3	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
12	Mainz	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
13	Werder Bremen	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
14	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
15	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.7	1
16	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
17	St Pauli	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.4	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
6	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
9	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
16	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
17	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
8	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
12	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.