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Allsvenskan
Referee: O Johnson
Goteborg
U U U S T
0–1
Full-time
Hammarby
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
25%
55%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
40%
75%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,51 xG 1,60
37% Possession 63%
6 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 12. · Hammarby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 21 15 3 3 +34 +20.8 48
2 Djurgarden 20 12 2 6 +11 +0.7 38
3 Hammarby 20 11 3 6 +16 +2.6 36
4 Mjallby 21 11 3 7 +6 +1.6 36
5 AIK 21 11 2 8 -1 +2.3 35
6 Elfsborg 21 10 3 8 +10 +5.5 33
7 GAIS 21 10 3 8 +0 -2.8 33
8 Hacken 19 9 4 6 +7 -4.1 31
9 Sirius 21 9 4 8 +4 +0.6 31
10 Brommapojkarna 21 6 8 7 -5 -0.2 26
11 Norrkoping 20 7 2 11 -17 -4.1 23
12 Goteborg 20 5 6 9 -10 -4.5 21
13 Halmstad 21 7 0 14 -16 -6.8 21
14 Varnamo 21 5 5 11 -10 -6.4 20
15 Vasteras SK 21 5 3 13 -11 +4.2 18
16 Kalmar 21 5 3 13 -18 -9.1 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Hammarby
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 S. Strand
↦ I. Fofana
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Shaquille Pinas
59′
🟨 Fredrik Hammar
L. Skjellerup 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
64′
G. Norlin 🔁
↦ D. Kruse
65′
August Erlingmark 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Bazoumana Touré
A. Carlén 🔁
↦ A. Trondsen
76′
80′
🔁 Montader Madjed
↦ B. Touré
81′
🟨 Simon Strand
H. Carneil 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
83′
Kolbeinn Thordarson 🟨
86′
Hussein Carneil 🟥
87′
88′
🔁 D. Teah
↦ O. Johansson Schellhas
89′
🔁 M. Fenger
↦ F. Hammar
Jonas Bager 🟨
92′
101′
1 J. Erabi 0–1
Montader Madjed
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Goteborg

5-3-2
12 J. Karlstrøm G
8 J. Bager D
13 G. Svensson D
3 A. Erlingmark D
17 O. Wendt D
6 A. Trondsen D
30 R. Lundqvist M
23 K. Þórðarson M
15 D. Kruse M
11 P. Abraham F
22 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (9)
9 L. Skjellerup
14 G. Norlin
21 A. Carlén
10 H. Carneil
25 E. Bishesari
2 E. Salomonsson
28 L. Kåhed
7 O. Pettersson
16 L. Carlstrand

Coach: S. Billborn

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
17 I. Fofana D
6 P. Vagić D
4 V. Eriksson D
30 S. Pinas D
22 M. Karlsson M
8 F. Hammar M
11 O. Johansson Schellhas M
20 N. Besara M
28 B. Touré M
9 J. Erabi F
Bench (9)
21 S. Strand
18 Montader Madjed
29 D. Teah
13 M. Fenger
14 D. Collander
15 Marc Llinares
25 D. Blažević
19 S. Clemmensen
38 G. Elezaj

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Johnson · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.