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Allsvenskan

Referee: Tess Olofsson

Malmo FF

T S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Degerfors

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 34%

48%

19%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

62%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,00 xG 1,47

75% Possession 25%

25 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 4. · Degerfors 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	22	16	5	1	+26	+2.2	53
2	Hammarby	21	13	3	5	+17	+12.6	42
3	Goteborg	22	12	2	8	+4	+1.6	38
4	Malmo FF	21	10	7	4	+16	+12.4	37
5	AIK	21	10	7	4	+8	+6.5	37
6	Elfsborg	22	11	3	8	+5	-0.7	36
7	GAIS	21	9	8	4	+12	+10.5	35
8	Djurgarden	21	8	7	6	+4	+5.8	31
9	Brommapojkarna	22	8	2	12	+0	-1.4	26
10	Hacken	21	7	5	9	-5	+5.5	26
11	Norrkoping	21	7	4	10	-6	-9.2	25
12	Sirius	21	6	5	10	-3	-2.1	23
13	Halmstad	22	6	3	13	-25	-12.1	21
14	Oster	21	4	6	11	-10	-11.2	18
15	Degerfors	21	4	3	14	-23	-4.5	15
16	Varnamo	22	2	6	14	-20	-15.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	11	8	3	0	+13	+4.6	27
2	Hammarby	11	8	1	2	+12	+10.6	25
3	Elfsborg	11	6	2	3	+6	+0.4	20
4	AIK	9	5	4	0	+10	+4.6	19
5	Goteborg	11	6	1	4	+5	+3.4	19
6	Malmo FF	10	5	3	2	+8	+8.5	18
7	Djurgarden	11	4	5	2	+4	+6.1	17
8	GAIS	10	4	3	3	+3	+7.0	15
9	Norrkoping	11	4	1	6	-3	-0.0	13
10	Halmstad	11	4	1	6	-11	-4.7	13
11	Brommapojkarna	11	4	0	7	-2	+0.4	12
12	Sirius	10	3	2	5	-1	+1.0	11
13	Hacken	11	3	2	6	-7	+4.9	11
14	Varnamo	12	2	4	6	-8	-7.6	10
15	Oster	10	1	3	6	-7	-4.0	6
16	Degerfors	11	1	3	7	-13	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	11	8	2	1	+13	-2.4	26
2	GAIS	11	5	5	1	+9	+3.5	20
3	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.9	19
4	Goteborg	11	6	1	4	-1	-1.8	19
5	AIK	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
6	Hammarby	10	5	2	3	+5	+2.0	17
7	Elfsborg	11	5	1	5	-1	-1.2	16
8	Hacken	10	4	3	3	+2	+0.6	15
9	Brommapojkarna	11	4	2	5	+2	-1.8	14
10	Djurgarden	10	4	2	4	+0	-0.3	14
11	Sirius	11	3	3	5	-2	-3.1	12
12	Norrkoping	10	3	3	4	-3	-9.2	12
13	Oster	11	3	3	5	-3	-7.2	12
14	Degerfors	10	3	0	7	-10	-3.4	9
15	Halmstad	11	2	2	7	-14	-7.3	8
16	Varnamo	10	0	2	8	-12	-8.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.