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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Puszcza
S U T T S
1–1
Full-time
Legia
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,7
Scored
1,6
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
2,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

25% Possession 75%
9 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
24 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Puszcza 15. · Legia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +3 -3.1 7
2 Cracovia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Zaglebie 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.3 7
4 Legia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.3 6
6 Radomiak Radom 4 2 0 2 +1 +0.7 6
7 Widzew Lodz 4 2 0 2 +0 -1.8 6
8 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +0 +2.5 6
9 Stal Mielec 4 1 2 1 +1 -0.7 5
10 Piast Gliwice 4 1 2 1 +0 +4.2 5
11 Rakow 3 1 1 1 +2 +2.0 4
12 Warta Poznan 3 1 1 1 +1 +0.8 4
13 Gornik Zabrze 4 1 1 2 -3 -2.1 4
14 Ruch Chorzow 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.3 3
15 Puszcza 3 1 0 2 -3 -2.8 3
16 LKS Lodz 4 1 0 3 -5 3
17 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -2 +0.7 1
18 Slask Wroclaw 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puszcza Legia
1–0 Ł. Sołowiej
K. Zapolnik
26′
34′
Josué 1–1
42′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Pekhart
↦ P. Wszołek
46′
🔁 P. Kun
↦ A. Jędrzejczyk
Kamil Zapolnik 🟨
50′
J. Majchrzak 🔁
↦ M. Walski
60′
M. Mešanović 🔁
↦ K. Zapolnik
60′
A. Siemaszko 🔁
↦ M. Pięczek
61′
65′
🔁 Marc Gual
↦ E. Muçi
72′
🟨 Maciej Rosołek
Roman Yakuba 🟨
73′
Konrad Stepien 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 I. Strzałek
↦ M. Rosołek
W. Hajda 🔁
↦ M. Cholewiak
78′
Wojciech Hajda 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ Josué
Artur Crăciun 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
8 P. Mroziński D
22 A. Crăciun D
27 Ł. Sołowiej D
3 R. Yakuba D
14 J. Serafin M
5 K. Stępień M
11 M. Cholewiak M
16 M. Walski M
6 M. Pięczek M
25 K. Zapolnik F
Bench (9)
23 J. Majchrzak
24 M. Mešanović
9 A. Siemaszko
70 W. Hajda
45 R. Kidrič
10 H. Tomalski
21 M. Koj
99 K. Piechota
17 J. Bartosz

Coach: T. Tułacz

Legia

3-4-3
30 D. Hładun G
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
21 J. Çelhaka M
32 M. Baku M
27 Josué F
39 M. Rosołek F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
7 T. Pekhart
33 P. Kun
28 Marc Gual
86 I. Strzałek
22 J. Elitim
92 L. Rose
1 K. Tobiasz
18 P. Sokołowski
67 B. Kapustka

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.