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League Cup
Referee: Scott Jackson
Stockport County
T T S S T
3–1
Full-time
Crewe
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stockport County Crewe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,19 xG 1,26
56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stockport County Crewe
Danny Andrew 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Wootton ⚽
O. Dodgson
49′
2–0 N. Lowe ⚽
O. Dodgson
52′
Callum Connolly 🟨
56′
J. Diamond 🔁
↦ K. Wootton
60′
C. Gardner 🔁
↦ O. Dodgson
60′
J. Fevrier 🔁
↦ O. Norwood
61′
J. Okeke 🔁
↦ C. O'Keeffe
61′
62′
🔁 L. Billington
↦ J. Golding
62′
🔁 C. Agius
↦ O. Lunt
62′
🔁 T. O'Reilly
↦ J. Connolly
62′
🔁 O. Armstrong
↦ A. Thibaut
71′
🔁 J. Hodkin
↦ C. Finney
A. Allen 🔁
↦ N. Lowe
75′
3–0 L. Fiorini ⚽
C. Gardner
77′
87′
⚽ E. Tezgel 3–1
L. Billington
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Stockport County

3-1-4-2
1 B. Hinchliffe G
16 C. Connolly D
15 E. Pye D
23 D. Andrew D
26 O. Norwood M
2 C. O'Keeffe M
18 L. Fiorini M
27 O. Bailey M
3 O. Dodgson M
9 N. Lowe F
19 K. Wootton F
Bench (9)
34 C. Addai
7 J. Diamond
8 C. Camps
10 J. Fevrier
40 A. Mee
41 J. Okeke
45 C. Grogan
47 A. Allen
48 C. Gardner

Coach: David Paul Challinor

Crewe

5-3-2
13 S. Waller
30 S. Dancey
16 J. Golding D
22 P. Croker
18 J. Connolly D
14 C. Finney D
32 L. Moore M
23 J. Powell M
19 O. Lunt M
29 A. Thibaut F
36 E. Tezgel F
Bench (8)
1 T. Booth
2 L. Billington
6 M. H. Sanders
20 C. Agius
24 J. March
26 T. O'Reilly
27 J. Hodkin
34 O. Armstrong

Coach: Lee Bell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.