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League Cup
Referee: Farai Hallam
Portsmouth
S S U U S
1–2
Full-time
Reading
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portsmouth Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,36 xG 2,03
63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Portsmouth Reading
34′
⚽ A. Garcia 0–1
38′
⚽ K. Ehibhatiomhan 0–2
T. Rushesha
Half-time 0–2
A. Dozzell 🔁
↦ J. Swift
46′
Luke Le Roux 🟨
53′
F. Bianchini 🔁
↦ T. Waddingham
61′
R. Poole 🔁
↦ I. Bowat
62′
64′
🔁 C. Savage
↦ T. Rushesha
65′
🔁 B. Elliott
↦ K. Doyle
65′
🔁 D. Kyerewaa
↦ A. Garcia
67′
🔁 M. O'Mahony
↦ K. Ehibhatiomhan
A. Segecic 🔁
↦ L. Le Roux
70′
O. Singerr 🔁
↦ M. Kosznovszky
70′
72′
🔁 L. Fraser
↦ S. Spencer
80′
🟨 Liam Fraser
90′
🟨 John Ryan
1–2 O. Singerr ⚽
A. Segecic
90′
Regan Poole 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1
30 B. Killip G
22 Z. Swanson D
14 H. Matthews D
17 I. Bowat D
19 J. Farrell D
8 J. Swift M
16 L. Le Roux M
24 T. Devlin M
18 M. Kosznovszky M
47 Yang Min-Hyuk M
20 T. Waddingham F
Bench (9)
31 J. Archer
42 M. Ani
5 R. Poole
21 A. Dozzell
10 A. Segecic
11 F. Bianchini
43 F. Thomas
46 O. Singerr
48 N. Chioma

Coach: John Michael Lewis Mousinho

Reading

4-3-3
25 J. Stevens G
39 A. Ahmed D
22 M. Stickland D
12 F. Burns D
36 J. Ryan D
14 T. Rushesha M
47 S. Spencer M
29 K. Doyle M
28 M. Camara F
9 K. Ehibhatiomhan F
19 A. Garcia F
Bench (9)
1 J. Pereira
2 K. Abrefa
4 B. Elliott
5 M. Jacob
6 L. Fraser
8 C. Savage
11 D. Kyerewaa
20 M. O'Mahony
43 J. Okine-Peters

Coach: Noel Hunt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Farai Hallam · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.