← Match Finder
League Cup
Referee: Elliot Bell
Cardiff
T T U U T
2–1
Full-time
Swindon Town
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Cardiff Swindon Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
5,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,15 xG 0,89
73% Possession 27%
17 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cardiff Swindon Town
1–0 C. Ashford ⚽
21′
2–0 R. Colwill ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 O. Clarke
↦ W. Wright
46′
🔁 F. Munroe
↦ T. Wilson-Brown
46′
🔁 D. Oldaker
↦ B. Bodin
50′
🔁 L. Ward
↦ C. Ripley
52′
🟨 Ollie Clarke
55′
⚽ P. Ehibhatiomhan 2–1
D. Oldaker
Ronan Kpakio 🟨
60′
C. Willock 🔁
↦ I. Davies
68′
Y. Salech 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
68′
77′
🔁 J. Tabor
↦ P. Ehibhatiomhan
80′
🟨 Joel McGregor
J. Colwill 🔁
↦ R. Colwill
87′
O. Tanner 🔁
↦ C. Ashford
87′
E. King 🔁
↦ D. Turnbull
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-3-3
13 N. Trott G
44 R. Kpakio D
2 W. Fish D
12 C. Chambers D
3 J. Bagan D
14 D. Turnbull M
6 R. Wintle M
10 R. Colwill M
45 C. Ashford F
47 C. Robinson F
39 I. Davies F
Bench (9)
41 M. Turner
48 D. Lawlor
24 E. King
28 D. Mafico
27 J. Colwill
11 O. Tanner
29 T. Nyakuhwa
16 C. Willock
22 Y. Salech

Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy

Swindon Town

4-3-3
1 C. Ripley G
33 J. McGregor D
5 W. Wright D
3 F. Mabete D
16 T. Wilson-Brown D
18 G. Kilkenny M
6 J. Ball M
9 P. Glatzel M
31 B. Bodin F
10 H. Smith F
20 P. Ehibhatiomhan F
Bench (9)
12 L. Ward
7 T. Nichols
8 O. Clarke
11 J. Tabor
14 D. Butterworth
19 J. Snowdon
23 A. Drinan
26 F. Munroe
44 D. Oldaker

Coach: Ian Scott Holloway

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Elliot Bell · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.