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League Cup
Referee: Sebastian Stockbridge
Grimsby
S T U T T
3–1
Full-time
Shrewsbury
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grimsby Shrewsbury
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,83 xG 0,29
56% Possession 44%
19 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Grimsby Shrewsbury
4′
🟨 Malvind Benning
1–0 J. Amaluzor ⚽
G. D. Turi
15′
26′
🟨 Tom Anderson
Half-time 1–0
H. Rodgers 🔁
↦ S. Lavelle
46′
47′
🟨 Sam Clucas
2–0 C. Gardner ⚽
T. Warren
50′
63′
⚽ T. Sang 2–1
M. Benning
69′
🔁 A. Scully
↦ S. Clucas
69′
🔁 J. Marquis
↦ C. Stewart
K. Green 🔁
↦ J. Walker
78′
J. Kabia 🔁
↦ C. Gardner
78′
H. Brown 🔁
↦ D. Burns
79′
81′
🟨 Luca Hoole
85′
🔁 T. McDermott
↦ T. Perry
85′
🔁 A. Gilliead
↦ L. Hoole
3–1 J. Kabia ⚽
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Grimsby

4-1-4-1
1 C. Pym G
21 T. Warren D
6 S. Lavelle D
24 D. Tharme D
16 R. Staunton D
15 G. D. Turi M
14 J. Amaluzor
7 J. Walker M
8 E. Khouri M
18 D. Burns M
22 C. Gardner F
Bench (9)
41 S. Auton
5 H. Rodgers
3 J. Sweeney
20 G. McEachran
4 K. Green
23 H. Brown
30 C. Vernam
9 J. Kabia
27 F. Onoh

Coach: David John Artell

Shrewsbury

5-3-2
1 E. Harrison G
2 L. Hoole D
4 T. Anderson D
22 A. Nsiala D
23 G. Nurse D
3 M. Benning D
14 T. Perry M
6 S. Clucas M
10 T. Sang M
9 G. Lloyd F
24 C. Stewart
Bench (9)
13 T. Savin
7 T. McDermott
8 H. Biggins
11 A. Scully
17 A. Gilliead
26 S. Stubbs
27 J. Marquis
38 I. England
43 W. Gray

Coach: Michael Antony Appleton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.