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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
1–0
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slovan Bratislava Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
29 Free kicks against 23
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Slovan Bratislava Kairat Almaty
1–0 R. Mak
M. Tolic
30′
Half-time 1–0
Vladimír Weiss 🟨
49′
Marko Tolić 🟨
59′
César Blackman 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 Dastan Satpaev
D. Ignatenko 🔁
↦ V. j. Weiss
64′
68′
🔁 G. Zaria
↦ Edmilson
68′
🔁 A. Mrynskiy
↦ L. Mata
Róbert Mak 🟨
74′
N. Marcelli 🔁
↦ R. Mak
75′
Kenan Bajrić 🟨
82′
P. Pokorny 🔁
↦ S. Cruz
86′
91′
🟨 Valeriy Gromyko
A. Mustafic 🔁
↦ C. Blackman
91′
Kevin Wimmer 🟨
94′
Nino Marcelli 🟨
97′
100′
🟨 Giorgi Zaria
103′
🔁 J. Stanojev
M. Kukharevych 🔁
↦ D. Strelec
106′
106′
🔁 D. Kasabulat
↦ O. Arad
106′
🔁 Ricardinho
↦ D. Satpaev
108′
🟨 Aleksandr Mrynskiy
A. Yirajang 🔁
117′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava

4-2-3-1
71 D. Takac G
28 C. Blackman D
4 G. Kashia D
6 K. Wimmer D
57 S. Cruz D
12 K. Bajric M
10 M. Tolic M
11 T. Barseghyan M
7 V. j. Weiss M
21 R. Mak M
13 D. Strelec F
Bench (11)
31 M. Trnovsky
44 M. Macik
3 P. Pokorny
9 M. Kukharevych
14 A. Yirajang
18 N. Marcelli
20 A. Mustafic
23 S. Zuberu
26 F. Lichy
77 D. Ignatenko
88 K. Savvidis

Coach: Vladimir Weiss

Kairat Almaty

4-3-3
1 A. Zarutskiy G
20 E. Tapalov D
80 E. Sorokin D
14 A. Martynovich D
3 L. Mata D
18 D. Glazer M
55 V. Gromyko M
15 O. Arad M
9 D. Satpaev M
26 Edmilson F
7 Jorginho M
Bench (11)
77 T. Anarbekov
82 S. Kalmurza
4 D. Kasabulat
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
17 O. Baybek
24 A. Mrynskiy
25 A. Shirobokov
33 J. Stanojev
44 L. Gadrani
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.